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Divergence is very common and useful in technical analysis. It indicates possible reversal signals when there are discrepancies between ADX and price movement.
Unlike oscillators, ADX measures trend strength (0-100). Divergence forms when:
Price makes a new extreme (higher high or lower low),
But the ADX line shows weakening momentum (lower peak or higher trough).
Two Core Signals:
Bearish ADX Divergence:
Price: Makes a Higher High (HH)
ADX Line: Prints a Lower High (LH)
→ Fading uptrend strength → Potential reversal down.
Bullish ADX Divergence:
Price: Makes a Lower Low (LL)
ADX Line: Prints a Higher Low (HL)
→ Fading downtrend strength → Potential reversal up.
Price pushes to new highs/lows, but ADX fails to confirm — signaling internal weakness.
When price breaks resistance but ADX is declining → Weak volume/conviction.
Example: Stock breaks $100 to $102 (HH), but ADX drops from 40 → 32.
→ High probability of fakeout → Short opportunity.
In euphoric pumps (e.g., meme stocks, crypto), price surges but ADX rolls over → Smart money exiting.
Action: Take profits or tighten stops.
ADX divergence at key support/resistance adds conviction:
Bearish divergence at resistance = Strong sell signal.
Bullish divergence at support = Strong buy signal.
A "trend" with declining ADX is unreliable → Avoid trend-following entries.
Chart: Tesla (TSLA) Daily | Context: Post-earnings rally
Price Action:
Peak 1: $250 (ADX = 48)
Peak 2: $265 (HH)
ADX Action:
At Peak 2: ADX = 38 (LH)
Outcome:
Price reversed to $230 within 5 days.
Trade Setup:
Short entry at $260 (below Peak 2)
Stop-loss: $270
Target: $235 (prior support)
Use at least 5-10 candles between price peaks/troughs.
Validate with DI lines:
Bearish divergence: +DI declining, -DI rising.
Bullish divergence: -DI declining, +DI rising.
Price Action:
Bearish: Rejection candles at resistance (shooting star, gravestone doji).
Bullish: Reversal candles at support (hammer, bullish engulfing).
Volume: Declining volume on new price extreme → Weak participation.
Trendlines: Break of short-term trendline.
Entry:
Bearish: After first red candle closes below divergence peak.
Bullish: After first green candle closes above divergence trough.
Stop-Loss:
Beyond the divergence extreme (e.g., above HH for shorts).
Target:
Nearest support/resistance or 1:2 risk-reward.
Not for Choppy Markets:
ADX < 20 → Ignore divergence (low reliability).
Strong Trends Can Ignore Divergence:
In institutional-driven moves (e.g., FOMO rallies), ADX divergence may resolve with sideways consolidation instead of reversal.
Combine with +DI/-DI:
Declining ADX + -DI crossing above +DI = High-confidence reversal signal.
Timeframe Sensitivity:
Best on daily/weekly charts; noisy on intraday.
| Factor | ADX Divergence | RSI/MACD Divergence |
|---|---|---|
| What it measures | Trend strength decay | Momentum decay |
| Best for | Exhausted trends, fakeouts | Early reversals |
| Failure rate | Higher (use strict confirmation) | Lower |
| Trend context | Works best in strong trends (ADX > 25) | Works in all conditions |
ADX divergence is a stealthy trend-exhaustion detector. Its power lies in:
Exposing "empty" price moves lacking institutional conviction,
Signaling reversals at key technical levels,
Preventing entries into weakening trends.
Use it as a filter, not a standalone signal. When combined with price action and DI lines, it becomes a sophisticated tool for spotting major turning points — especially in overextended markets.
"ADX divergence doesn’t shout — it whispers. Listen when it speaks at extremes."
The definition of divergence is when price and indicator move in different directions
for instance, when price is in uptrend and reaches a higher high where the indicator is in downtrend.
Features and inputs:
There will be a 'H' drawn under a hidden divergence.
A 'R' drawn under a regular divergence.
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