{"id":540,"date":"2017-04-09T03:46:02","date_gmt":"2017-04-09T03:46:02","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.patternsmart.com\/cn\/?p=540"},"modified":"2021-10-03T02:23:22","modified_gmt":"2021-10-03T02:23:22","slug":"probability-cone-backtest-indicator-for-thinkorswim","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.patternsmart.com\/cn\/probability-cone-backtest-indicator-for-thinkorswim\/","title":{"rendered":"Thinkorswim \u7684\u6982\u7387\u9525\u56de\u6d4b\u6307\u6807"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<p>\u6982\u7387\u9525\u6307\u6807\u4f7f\u7528\u7edf\u8ba1\u6570\u636e\u6765\u9884\u6d4b\u5177\u6709\u6307\u5b9a\u6982\u7387\u548c\u9690\u542b\u6ce2\u52a8\u7387\u7684\u672a\u6765\u4ef7\u683c\u8303\u56f4\u3002<br \/>\n\u5b83\u7ed8\u5236\u4e86\u4e00\u6761\u6807\u51c6\u504f\u5dee\u66f2\u7ebf\uff0c\u6307\u5b9a\u4e86\u9884\u6d4b\u4ef7\u683c\u7684\u8303\u56f4\u3002<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Thinkorswim \u6709\u4e00\u4e2a\u6982\u7387\u5206\u6790\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u5728\u671f\u6743\u4ea4\u6613\u4e2d\u975e\u5e38\u6d41\u884c\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5b83\u8fd8\u6709\u4e00\u4e2a\u56fe\u8868\u7814\u7a76 (ProbabilityOfExpiringCone)\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u5728\u6700\u8fd1\u7684\u67f1\u4e0a\u7ed8\u5236\u6982\u7387\u9525\u3002<\/p>\n<p>Thinkorswim \u63d0\u4f9b\u7684 Probability Cone \u7684\u5c40\u9650\u6027\u5728\u4e8e\u6211\u4eec\u53ea\u80fd\u67e5\u770b\u6700\u540e\u4e00\u4e2a bar \u4e0a\u7684\u9525\u4f53\u3002<br \/>\n\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\u77e5\u9053\u5f53\u524d\u4ef7\u683c\u548c\u4e4b\u524d\u6982\u7387\u9525\u7684\u76f8\u5bf9\u4f4d\u7f6e\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8be5\u6307\u6807\u7684\u76ee\u7684\u662f\u8ba9\u6211\u4eec\u80fd\u591f\u56de\u6d4b\u6982\u7387\u9525\u3002<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\u529f\u80fd\u548c\u8f93\u5165\u3002<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>\u6982\u7387\uff1a\u4ef7\u683c\u4fdd\u6301\u5728\u8ba1\u7b97\u8303\u56f4\u5185\u7684\u6982\u7387\u3002<\/li>\n<li>\u6761\uff1a\u7528\u4e8e\u5411\u540e\u79fb\u52a8\u7684\u6761\u6570\u3002<\/li>\n<li>\u9690\u542b\u6ce2\u52a8\u7387(IV)\uff1a\u8ba1\u7b97\u9525\u4f53\u7684\u9690\u542b\u6ce2\u52a8\u7387\u503c\u3002<\/li>\n<li>\u5b83\u4ec5\u9002\u7528\u4e8e\u6bcf\u65e5\u3001\u6bcf\u5468\u548c\u6bcf\u6708\u65f6\u95f4\u8303\u56f4\u3002<\/li>\n<li>\u5b83\u9002\u7528\u4e8e\u6240\u6709\u7c7b\u578b\u7684\u8bc1\u5238\uff0c\u4e0d\u4ec5\u9002\u7528\u4e8e\u80a1\u7968\uff0c\u8fd8\u9002\u7528\u4e8e\u5916\u6c47\u548c\u671f\u8d27\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u6211\u4eec\u6709 Probability=68.3\uff0cIV=0.11 \u548c Bar=20\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6982\u7387\u9525\u5c06\u4ece\u56fe\u8868\u4e0a\u6700\u540e\u4e00\u6839\u67f1\u7ebf\u540e\u9762\u7684 20 \u6839\u67f1\u7ebf\u5f00\u59cb\u8ba1\u7b97\u548c\u7ed8\u5236\u3002<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\u901a\u5e38\uff0c\u6982\u7387\u9525\u7528\u4e8e\u80a1\u7968\u671f\u6743\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u4f46\u6211\u4eec\u4e5f\u53ef\u4ee5\u5728\u5916\u6c47\u4e2d\u4f7f\u7528\u5b83\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e0b\u9762\u663e\u793a\u7684\u56fe\u8868\u662f\u5c06\u5176\u5e94\u7528\u4e8e FX \u7684\u5b8c\u7f8e\u793a\u4f8b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\u5f53\u6211\u6d4b\u8bd5\u8fd9\u4e2a\u6307\u6807\u65f6\uff0c\u6211\u6ce8\u610f\u5230\u6709\u65f6\u5982\u679c\u6211\u4eec\u6839\u636e\u4e4b\u524d\u7684\u6446\u52a8\u9ad8\u70b9\u548c\u4f4e\u70b9\u7ed8\u5236\u5706\u9525\u4f53\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u83b7\u5f97\u66f4\u597d\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\u3002<\/p>\n<div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/2.bp.blogspot.com\/-O_KNJmVcyDk\/WObdct5eGUI\/AAAAAAAAElM\/MEmI51Fl5johlpd6ax0GnweEiZ2dwcfKACPcB\/s1600\/Probability%2BCone%2BTOS%2B%25284%2529.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/2.bp.blogspot.com\/-O_KNJmVcyDk\/WObdct5eGUI\/AAAAAAAAElM\/MEmI51Fl5johlpd6ax0GnweEiZ2dwcfKACPcB\/s1600\/Probability%2BCone%2BTOS%2B%25284%2529.png\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/2.bp.blogspot.com\/-kX8LY-tVkdA\/WObdciMIBiI\/AAAAAAAAElM\/dBSdNaBMphoimkefuo2TVu-znkcXTMLPACPcB\/s1600\/Probability%2BCone%2BTOS%2B%25282%2529.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/2.bp.blogspot.com\/-kX8LY-tVkdA\/WObdciMIBiI\/AAAAAAAAElM\/dBSdNaBMphoimkefuo2TVu-znkcXTMLPACPcB\/s1600\/Probability%2BCone%2BTOS%2B%25282%2529.png\" \/><\/a><br \/>\nThe extension lines of two Cones may form a support and resistance zone.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/4.bp.blogspot.com\/-9M7VOXA5K9M\/WObdckR3fKI\/AAAAAAAAElM\/E-FGdpKLPGYj3bwLLIWcfMQbHLRGsx6xgCPcB\/s1600\/Probability%2BCone%2BTOS%2B%25283%2529.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/4.bp.blogspot.com\/-9M7VOXA5K9M\/WObdckR3fKI\/AAAAAAAAElM\/E-FGdpKLPGYj3bwLLIWcfMQbHLRGsx6xgCPcB\/s1600\/Probability%2BCone%2BTOS%2B%25283%2529.png\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/4.bp.blogspot.com\/-qyl2FgbFhng\/WObdcrAHoSI\/AAAAAAAAElM\/ed18siriELY58pJEjlM3bUyvFKtLFOKrACPcB\/s1600\/Probability%2BCone%2BTOS%2B%25281%2529.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/4.bp.blogspot.com\/-qyl2FgbFhng\/WObdcrAHoSI\/AAAAAAAAElM\/ed18siriELY58pJEjlM3bUyvFKtLFOKrACPcB\/s1600\/Probability%2BCone%2BTOS%2B%25281%2529.png\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/2.bp.blogspot.com\/-Tewc6G1Tqr8\/WObdcoG6ltI\/AAAAAAAAElM\/4vO_IxYu4koY1XbeAYfDyfXyaKgBpCrEwCPcB\/s1600\/Probability%2BCone%2BTOS%2B%25287%2529.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/2.bp.blogspot.com\/-Tewc6G1Tqr8\/WObdcoG6ltI\/AAAAAAAAElM\/4vO_IxYu4koY1XbeAYfDyfXyaKgBpCrEwCPcB\/s1600\/Probability%2BCone%2BTOS%2B%25287%2529.png\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/3.bp.blogspot.com\/-dA6O3CZfkl8\/WObdcsx34JI\/AAAAAAAAElM\/23PzUbz_RM0XqgRQSX0c5Fp2fcyWN4L4ACPcB\/s1600\/Probability%2BCone%2BTOS%2B%25285%2529.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/3.bp.blogspot.com\/-dA6O3CZfkl8\/WObdcsx34JI\/AAAAAAAAElM\/23PzUbz_RM0XqgRQSX0c5Fp2fcyWN4L4ACPcB\/s1600\/Probability%2BCone%2BTOS%2B%25285%2529.png\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/3.bp.blogspot.com\/-GuLVUwXtS1I\/WObdcuT30EI\/AAAAAAAAElM\/CXU9TrRYl_Uakz695nUISu8CRiOiZZufgCPcB\/s1600\/Probability%2BCone%2BTOS%2B%25286%2529.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/3.bp.blogspot.com\/-GuLVUwXtS1I\/WObdcuT30EI\/AAAAAAAAElM\/CXU9TrRYl_Uakz695nUISu8CRiOiZZufgCPcB\/s1600\/Probability%2BCone%2BTOS%2B%25286%2529.png\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<div><\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u6982\u7387\u9525\u6307\u6807\u4f7f\u7528\u7edf\u8ba1\u6570\u636e\u6765\u9884\u6d4b\u5177\u6709\u6307\u5b9a\u6982\u7387\u548c\u9690\u542b\u6ce2\u52a8\u7387\u7684\u672a\u6765\u4ef7\u683c\u8303\u56f4\u3002 \u5b83\u7ed8\u5236\u4e86\u4e00\u6761\u6807\u51c6\u504f\u5dee\u66f2\u7ebf\uff0c\u6307\u5b9a\u4e86\u9884\u6d4b\u4ef7\u683c [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"fifu_image_url":"","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[5,71],"tags":[188],"class_list":["post-540","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-indicator","category-thinkorswim","tag-probability-cone"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.patternsmart.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/540","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.patternsmart.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.patternsmart.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.patternsmart.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.patternsmart.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=540"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.patternsmart.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/540\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1017,"href":"https:\/\/www.patternsmart.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/540\/revisions\/1017"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.patternsmart.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=540"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.patternsmart.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=540"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.patternsmart.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=540"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}